Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3045.429357 3272.416132 3499.979050 3744.914359 4000.775476 4259.852162 4541.699979
2025-08-10 2662.681344 3006.715065 3362.369739 3756.288949 4179.170307 4618.359188 5107.805253
2025-08-17 2388.523636 2802.551127 3240.676720 3736.332088 4279.017214 4852.784420 5502.915462
2025-08-24 2206.241296 2674.045212 3178.838246 3759.904180 4406.241370 5099.281830 5894.736981
2025-08-31 2024.963183 2530.272481 3085.519048 3734.849072 4467.430223 5262.772076 6185.948915
2025-09-07 1920.369608 2463.858079 3070.437825 3789.340869 4610.045355 5510.210767 6564.632344
2025-09-14 1802.817672 2374.136944 3021.567176 3798.820908 4696.148460 5689.849736 6863.754345
2025-09-21 1690.738252 2283.879374 2966.011451 3795.025574 4762.265621 5843.003928 7129.761181
2025-09-28 1551.659064 2153.948583 2857.529069 3723.659117 4745.298758 5897.311694 7279.865649
2025-10-05 1536.549104 2172.982648 2924.360682 3857.295508 4965.703552 6223.069792 7739.870747
2025-10-12 1487.141923 2146.519333 2934.035791 3920.942651 5102.572842 6451.571531 8087.816762
2025-10-19 1417.773436 2091.566149 2906.230196 3937.130558 5181.392751 6611.265164 8355.334764
2025-10-26 1340.286524 2024.424016 2862.537864 3934.083923 5238.347388 6747.458339 8598.851942
2025-11-02 1274.689909 1969.897168 2832.415336 3946.010633 5312.256546 6903.222866 8865.545623
2025-11-09 1198.785753 1898.367531 2778.012110 3925.403489 5344.731833 7008.405156 9071.688552
2025-11-16 1148.108727 1857.966819 2761.128297 3949.746732 5430.543678 7176.067569 9350.998694
2025-11-23 1079.120671 1789.770676 2706.018388 3923.871943 5452.998641 7266.628655 9537.933499
2025-11-30 1048.884170 1773.173331 2716.617080 3980.144012 5576.035759 7477.642270 9868.197931
2025-12-07 1001.633612 1730.841915 2691.846509 3989.932850 5640.382186 7617.170334 10112.735530
2025-12-14 951.758395 1682.654968 2657.576641 3986.013920 5686.450673 7733.729031 10329.232941
2025-12-21 878.316577 1597.552099 2571.294947 3912.315286 5642.848785 7739.389847 10410.776707
2025-12-28 886.989987 1632.048852 2646.823471 4050.306261 5867.289628 8073.988475 10891.313957
2026-01-04 869.297615 1626.804519 2667.613336 4116.008772 5999.879672 8295.925913 11235.665998